Dodge City, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Dodge City KS
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Dodge City KS
Issued by: National Weather Service Dodge City, KS |
Updated: 7:15 am CDT Jul 27, 2025 |
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Today
 Sunny
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Tonight
 Mostly Clear
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Monday
 Sunny
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Monday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Tuesday
 Sunny
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Tuesday Night
 Partly Cloudy then Chance T-storms
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Wednesday
 Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Wednesday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Thursday
 Chance Showers then Chance T-storms
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Hi 99 °F |
Lo 73 °F |
Hi 98 °F |
Lo 73 °F |
Hi 99 °F |
Lo 70 °F |
Hi 95 °F |
Lo 67 °F |
Hi 85 °F |
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
Heat Advisory
Today
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Sunny, with a high near 99. South wind 10 to 16 mph. |
Tonight
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Mostly clear, with a low around 73. South wind 11 to 14 mph. |
Monday
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Sunny, with a high near 98. South wind 10 to 13 mph. |
Monday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. South wind around 11 mph. |
Tuesday
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Sunny, with a high near 99. South southwest wind 9 to 11 mph. |
Tuesday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1am and 4am, then a chance of showers after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Wednesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. |
Wednesday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. |
Thursday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. |
Thursday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. |
Friday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. |
Friday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. |
Saturday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Dodge City KS.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
629
FXUS63 KDDC 271020
AFDDDC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
520 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A Heat Advisory is in effect for Sunday from noon to 8 pm CDT
- Continued hot temperatures Monday and Tuesday may warrant
additional heat advisories.
- Cooler temperatures and increased chances for thunderstorms
will return the last half of the work week. Highs late week
are currently expected to be mainly in the 80s.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 248 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025
A weak westerly flow aloft prevailed across western Kansas this
morning with subtle waves rotating around the west/northwestern
edge of an upper high over the southeast United States
impacting the Four Corners region, eastern Colorado, and western
Kansas. Isolated storms that developed earlier across southeast
Colorado have since dissipated. At the surface, a trough of low
pressure was located over eastern Colorado, resulting in a
south southeast flow across western Kansas. Surface dew points
ranged from the mid 60s to lower 70s at 2am, notably higher than
forecast by NBM guidance 24 hours prior. These dewpoints were
closer to the 75th percentile. Temperatures also ended up a few
degrees warmer than guidance.
For today the models and ensembles this morning show little
change from previous runs, indicating an upper high building
across the Central Plains. This will lead to hot and dry
conditions across western Kansas over the next several days.
High confidence (over 80%) remains for high temperatures around
100 degrees to be possible each day from today through early
next week. These forecast highs are supported by 850mb and
700mb temperatures and minimal spread in their 25th to 75th
percentile. These highs also accounts for what appears to be a
few degree cool bias in guidance based on yesterdays high
temperatures.
Given that afternoon dewpoints east of Highway 283 were higher
yesterday than what was suggested by NBM guidance and were
closer to the 75th percentile have decided to trend towards the
higher 75th percentile dewpoints today. Following this bias and
given potential high temperatures near 100 degrees, heat index
values of 105 or higher remain possible this afternoon in the
current Heat Advisory area.
On Monday if this trend of temperatures being a few degrees
warmer than NBM guidance continues, and higher afternoon dew
points...a Heat Advisory may once again be warranted for the
I-70 corridor, then along and east of Highway 283. After good
collaboration with surrounding offices have resulted decided to
hold off on issuing a Heat Advisory for Monday afternoon. Next
shift with new information will have a better handle on this.
This heat will continue Tuesday and Wednesday as an upper ridge
axis builds across the northwest United States and British
Columbia. As this occurs an upper level trough will begin to
move across south central Canada towards the Western Great
Lakes Region. As this upper trough approaches the Western Great
Lakes, a cold front will drop south across the northern plains,
and a surface trough of low pressure will move from eastern
Colorado into western Kansas. This will lead to lower dew points
and consequently lower heat index values. Therefore, the only
areas of concern on Tuesday will be locations near Medicine
Lodge, Pratt, and St. Johns. Despite heat index values falling
below 105 for many locations on Tuesday and Wednesday, those
with outdoor activities should continue using heat safety tips.
As the surface trough exits Colorado and moves into western
Kansas toward mid week, the chance for thunderstorms will begin
to increase. Widespread measurable precipitation will be
possible by Thursday when the cold front finally drops south
into southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma and our next more
significant upper level trough approaches from the west. Wet
and cooler conditions will then linger through the start of the
weekend, with unseasonably cool air (highs only in the 80s)
being possible across western Kansas.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 519 AM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025
A surface trough will remain nearly stationary over eastern
Colorado today. This will maintain southerly winds over
southwest Kansas. These winds will increase to 15-20 knots
between 15Z and 18Z as stronger boundary layer winds mix down to
the surface. These gusty south winds will diminish by or
shortly after sunset. VFR conditions are expected over the next
24 hours.
&&
.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for
KSZ030-031-045-046-064>066-078>081-087>090.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Burgert
AVIATION...Burgert
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